Ottawa Workshop on Strategic Foresight

Ottawa Workshop on Strategic Foresight:

Charting the Future of Technology and National Security and Defence Priorities 

This free, one-day workshop will convene government, private sector, and academic experts in strategic foresight from Canada, the United States, and Europe to discuss best practices, guidelines, and lessons learned in applying foresight to technological development and national security, foreign policy, and defence interests. Four workshop panels will address the application of strategic foresight in policymaking, intelligence analysis, defence and foreign policy planning, and academic research.

November 10, 2017 – 8:00 am – 5:00 pm

The Senate Boardroom (R608), Robertson Hall @ Carleton University
Cost: FREE

For more information, contact Dr. Alex Wilner, Norman Paterson School of International Affairs (NPSIA), Carleton University  (

This event was co-sponsored by: Carleton University, the University of Maryland, and Pherson Associates LLC.

In-depth speaker biographies can be found here.


08:00 – 08:30: Registration with coffee/breakfast bar

08:30 – 08:40: Welcome Address, Principal Investigator (Alex Wilner)

08:40 – 10:20Panel 1: Strategic Foresight in Policymaking

  • Chair: Jez Littlewood (NPSIA, Carleton University, Canada)

  • Panelists:

    • Peter Padbury (Chief Futurist, Policy Horizons Canada, Canada) – The Horizons Foresight Method

    • Oliver Gnad (Managing Director, Bureau für Zeitgeschehen [BfZ], Germany) – Lessons from Germany

    • Steven Kenney (N2Growth, USA) – Praxis of Strategic Foresight

10:20 – 10:40: Health Break

10:40 – 12:20Panel 2: Strategic Foresight in Intelligence Analysis

  • Chair: Greg Fyffe (Canadian Association for Security and Intelligence Studies, Canada)

  • Panelists:

    • Randy Pherson (Pherson Associates, USA) – Indicators of Change

    • Adam Amos-Binks (CSE – PI, Anticipatory Thinking; Laboratory for Analytic Sciences, NSCU, USA) – Anticipatory Thinking in Intelligence

    • Kathleen Vogel (University of Maryland, USA) – Anticipating Emerging Biotechnology Threats

12:20 – 13:30: Lunch (on premise)

13:30 – 15:10Panel 3: Strategic Foresight in National Defence and Foreign Policy Planning

  • Chair/Panelist: Peter Gizewski (DRDC – Centre for Operational Research and Analysis, Canada) – Foresight in the Department of National Defence 1.0

  • Panelists:

    • Jason Steeves (Policy Horizons, Canada) – Foresight in the Department of National Defence 2.0

    • Luciana Lima (Chief of Military Personnel, Department of National Defence, Canada) Foresight in the Department of National Defence 3.0

    • Martin Roy (Foresight Unit, Global Affairs Canada, Canada) – The Missing Link between Present and Future

    • Jean-Louis Tiernan (Academic Outreach, CSIS, Canada) – Foresight and Open Intelligence: The Experience of the Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS)

15:10 – 15:30: Health Break

15:30 – 16:45Panel 4: Strategic Foresight in Academic Research

  • Chair: Satyamoorthy Kabilan (The Conference Board of Canada, Canada)

  • Panelists:

    • Alex Wilner (NPSIA, Carleton University, Canada) – Strategic Foresight and Social Science

    • Katherine Hibbs Pherson (Pherson Associates, LLC, USA) – Squaring a Circle: Goals and Impacts of Strategic Foresight Research

16:45 – 17:00: Closing Remarks, Principle Investigator (Alex Wilner)